AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab model makes AD Ceuta FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate AD Ceuta FC (1,934) and Granada CF (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Ceuta FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Granada CF have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 AD Ceuta FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Granada CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Granada CF 1-1 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Granada CF 2-0 AD Ceuta FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Ceuta FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and Granada CF sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Granada CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab model makes AD Ceuta FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF played?
- AD Ceuta FC vs Granada CF is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.