Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Adelaide United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Adelaide United (1,704) and Newcastle Jets (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adelaide United
4-3-3- 35Brody Burkitt
- 19A. Tatu
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 23L. Đuzel
- 65J. Garuccio
- 4P. Kikianis
- 62F. Talladira
- 14J. Barnett
- 79F. Kasumovic
- 22J. Smits
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 28W. Dobson
- 23D. Wilmering
- 2A. Grant
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide United have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Newcastle Jets have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Home United(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 0-3 | A-League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 2-5 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Macarthur(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Adelaide United wins, 1 draw, 3 Newcastle Jets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Adelaide United 2-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 2-1 Adelaide United | Australia Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Adelaide United 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide United score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle Jets score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Newcastle Jets | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide United sit 12th in A-League (0 points from 2 matches) and Newcastle Jets sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
A question about Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Adelaide United.
- Where and when is Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets played?
- Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets is played on December 20, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Coopers Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.