Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?
On Elo ratings, Adelaide United has 1,825 points and Central Coast Mariners 1,750.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Adelaide United
4-4-2- 10Juan Muñiz
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 11C. Goodwin
- 87Anselmo
- 14J. Barnett
- 4P. Kikianis
- 52S. Phillis
- 58H. Crawford
- 22J. Smits
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1- 22A. De Lima
- 72A. Auglah
- 9O. Lavale
- 8C. Donnell
- 37B. Brandtman
- 41Shumba Mutokoyi
- 5L. Mauragis
- 15S. Roux
- 12Noah McCann
- 26B. Tapp
- 30A. Redmayne
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adelaide United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Adelaide United win, 2 draws, 3 Central Coast Mariners wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| May 1, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Adelaide United sit 2nd in A-League (43 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
A question about Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners is played on December 27, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Coopers Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.