Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)CommBank Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Western Sydney Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets?
Newcastle Jets starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,885 vs 1,766).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Western Sydney Wanderers have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Newcastle Jets have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Newcastle Jets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 0-1 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 3-3 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle Jets score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Newcastle Jets | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th in A-League (21 points from 26 matches) and Newcastle Jets sit 1st (48 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 48 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets?
- The Footlab model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Western Sydney Wanderers.
- Where and when is Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets played?
- Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets is played on December 26, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at CommBank Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.