Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland: prediction and stats
A-LeagueMatchday 9Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Sky Stadium, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Auckland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wellington Phoenix wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Wellington Phoenix (1,763) and Auckland (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2- 99C. Piper
- 9R. Durán
- 25K. Nagasawa
- 8M. Anderson
- 7B. Duke
- 14A. Rufer
- 28B. Tuiloma
- 18L. Kelly-Heald
- 27M. Sheridan
- 23J. McGarry
- 13H. Gray
Auckland
4-2-3-1- 9S. Cosgrove
- 27L. Rogerson
- 10L. Bayliss
- 8F. Gallegos
- 77L. Brook
- 22J. Brimmer
- 2H. Sakai
- 4N. Pijnaker
- 15F. de Vries
- 23R. Wynne
- 1M. Woud
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellington Phoenix have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Auckland have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 2-0 | A-League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 2-5 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Wellington Phoenix wins, 1 draw, 5 Auckland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auckland 0-0 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix 0-5 Auckland | A-League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Auckland 3-1 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Auckland | A-League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Auckland 6-1 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Auckland 2-1 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Auckland score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Auckland | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wellington Phoenix sit 1st in A-League (10 points from 4 matches) and Auckland sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Auckland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Auckland.
- Where and when is Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland played?
- Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland is played on December 19, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Sky Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.