Match

Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 21, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, Surakarta

AdhyaksaPSM Makassar

The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Adhyaksa (1,735) and PSM Makassar (1,685).

Adhyaksa win50 %
Draw25 %
PSM Makassar win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adhyaksa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adhyaksa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Persipura Jayapura(away)1-0Liga 2
May 2, 2026Sriwijaya FC(home)4-0Liga 2
Apr 25, 2026PSMS Medan(away)1-1Liga 2
Apr 18, 2026Bekasi City(away)1-3Liga 2
Apr 12, 2026Persiraja Banda Aceh(home)4-3Liga 2
PSM Makassar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(away)0-2Liga 1
May 17, 2026Persib Bandung(home)1-2Liga 1
May 9, 2026Arema FC(away)0-3Liga 1
May 4, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)2-1Liga 1
Apr 27, 2026Bali United(away)0-2Liga 1

How many goals should we expect?

Adhyaksa score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adhyaksa2.71.2410/1510/15
PSM Makassar1.21.9010/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15PSM Makassar3481016394934

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar?
The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for PSM Makassar.
Where and when is Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar played?
Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar is played on December 21, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Adhyaksa and PSM Makassar

Ready to know everything about football?