Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 21, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, Surakarta
The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Adhyaksa (1,735) and PSM Makassar (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adhyaksa have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; PSM Makassar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Persipura Jayapura(away) | 1-0 | Liga 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sriwijaya FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bekasi City(away) | 1-3 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Persiraja Banda Aceh(home) | 4-3 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Adhyaksa score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adhyaksa | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar?
- The Footlab model makes Adhyaksa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for PSM Makassar.
- Where and when is Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar played?
- Adhyaksa vs PSM Makassar is played on December 21, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maladi Sriwedari, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 22, 2026Dewa UnitedvsBali United
- Dec 22, 2026Malut UnitedvsPSS Sleman
- Dec 22, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsGarudayaksa
- Dec 22, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPersik Kediri
- Dec 22, 2026PersijapvsPersija
- Dec 23, 2026Pusamania BorneovsArema FC
- Dec 23, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsPersita
- Dec 23, 2026Persib BandungvsBhayangkara FC