ADR Jicaral vs Aserri FC: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Cancha de la Asociación Cívica, Jicaral
The Footlab model makes ADR Jicaral the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Aserri FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADR Jicaral vs Aserri FC?
ADR Jicaral starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADR Jicaral have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Aserri FC have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santa Cruz FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AD Cofutpa(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AD Sarchí(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| May 24, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Santa Ana(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 ADR Jicaral win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Aserri FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aserri FC 0-1 ADR Jicaral | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 27, 2025 | ADR Jicaral 3-1 Aserri FC | Copa Costa Rica |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Aserri FC 0-0 ADR Jicaral | Copa Costa Rica |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Aserri FC 0-2 ADR Jicaral | Liga de Ascenso |
| Nov 6, 2022 | ADR Jicaral 2-1 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Aserri FC vs ADR Jicaral on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ADR Jicaral score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aserri FC score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADR Jicaral | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aserri FC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADR Jicaral sit 1st in Liga de Ascenso (10 points from 4 matches) and Aserri FC sit 4th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Aserri FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADR Jicaral vs Aserri FC?
- The Footlab model makes ADR Jicaral the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Aserri FC.
- Where and when is ADR Jicaral vs Aserri FC played?
- ADR Jicaral vs Aserri FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Cancha de la Asociación Cívica, in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.