Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC vs Cariari Pococi: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cariari Pococi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC vs Cariari Pococi?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (1,542) and Cariari Pococi (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cariari Pococi have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CS Uruguay(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 29, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cariari Pococi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | Cariari Pococi 2-2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 4-1 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1-1 Cariari Pococi | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC on Mar 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cariari Pococi score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cariari Pococi | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC sit 6th in Liga de Ascenso (5 points from 3 matches) and Cariari Pococi sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC vs Cariari Pococi?
- The Footlab model makes Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cariari Pococi.
- Where and when is Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC vs Cariari Pococi played?
- Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC vs Cariari Pococi is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.