Aserri FC vs Santa Ana: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Aserri FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Santa Ana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Aserri FC (1,465) and Santa Ana (1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aserri FC have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Ana have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Santa Ana(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Uruguay(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AD Carmelita(away) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aserri FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Aserri FC(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aserri FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Santa Ana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Santa Ana 1-0 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Santa Ana 3-2 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Aserri FC 1-1 Santa Ana | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Aserri FC 1-3 Santa Ana | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Santa Ana 1-2 Aserri FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Aserri FC 0-5 Santa Ana | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Santa Ana vs Aserri FC on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aserri FC score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Ana score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aserri FC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Santa Ana | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aserri FC sit 4th in Liga de Ascenso (7 points from 6 matches) and Santa Ana sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Ana | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Aserri FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
- The Footlab model makes Aserri FC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Santa Ana.
- Where and when is Aserri FC vs Santa Ana played?
- Aserri FC vs Santa Ana is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.