AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rafael Bolaños, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes AD Carmelita the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for CS Uruguay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate AD Carmelita (1,499) and CS Uruguay (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Carmelita have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; CS Uruguay have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Guadalupe FC(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Futbol Consultants Moravia(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Santa Ana(home) | 2-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | CS Uruguay(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Aserri FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Santa Ana(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cariari Pococi(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AD Carmelita(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 0-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 AD Carmelita win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 CS Uruguay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | CS Uruguay 2-2 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 21, 2026 | CS Uruguay 3-0 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 7, 2026 | AD Carmelita 0-1 CS Uruguay | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 24, 2025 | AD Carmelita 1-1 CS Uruguay | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 7, 2025 | CS Uruguay 2-1 AD Carmelita | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AD Carmelita score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CS Uruguay score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Carmelita | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| CS Uruguay | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Carmelita sit 9th in Liga de Ascenso (5 points from 4 matches) and CS Uruguay sit 13th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AD Carmelita | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | CS Uruguay | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
- The Footlab model makes AD Carmelita the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for CS Uruguay.
- Where and when is AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay played?
- AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rafael Bolaños, in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.