Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute: prediction and stats
Liga de AscensoRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Quepos Cambute the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Santa Cruz FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Quepos Cambute starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Quepos Cambute have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 1-4 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AD Cofutpa(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Quepos Cambute(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(away) | 1-4 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Sarchí(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aserri FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal Grecia(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Ascenso |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santa Cruz FC(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Ascenso |
| May 10, 2026 | ADR Jicaral(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Ascenso |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Santa Cruz FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Quepos Cambute win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Quepos Cambute 4-0 Santa Cruz FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Quepos Cambute 2-1 Santa Cruz FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Santa Cruz FC 1-2 Quepos Cambute | Liga de Ascenso |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Santa Cruz FC 0-2 Quepos Cambute | Liga de Ascenso |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Quepos Cambute 1-0 Santa Cruz FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Last archived meeting: Quepos Cambute vs Santa Cruz FC on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Quepos Cambute score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz FC | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Quepos Cambute | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz FC sit 10th in Liga de Ascenso (3 points from 4 matches) and Quepos Cambute sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Quepos Cambute | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santa Cruz FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
- The Footlab model makes Quepos Cambute the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Santa Cruz FC.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute played?
- Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga de Ascenso.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.