AFC Emley vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Avro?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 AFC Emley win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Avro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2023 | AFC Emley 0-0 Avro | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (8 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Emley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Avro?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Avro played?
- AFC Emley vs Avro is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 9, 2027BuryvsAshton United
- Jan 9, 2027Alfreton TownvsLeek Town
- Jan 9, 2027WorkingtonvsHyde United
- Jan 9, 2027Bamber BridgevsGuiseley AFC
- Jan 9, 2027Lancaster CityvsGainsborough Trinity
- Jan 9, 2027United of ManchestervsIlkeston Town
- Jan 9, 2027Warrington TownvsRedcar Athletic
- Jan 9, 2027Whitby TownvsRylands