Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,683 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley?
On Elo ratings, Curzon Ashton has 1,887 points and AFC Emley 1,788.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 07:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bridlington Town(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Curzon Ashton wins, 0 draws, 1 AFC Emley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley 2-1 Curzon Ashton | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Curzon Ashton on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| AFC Emley | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (22 points from 13 matches) and AFC Emley sit 14th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 17 |
A question about Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley played?
- Curzon Ashton vs AFC Emley is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Guiseley AFCvsWorkington
- Jan 16, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 16, 2027Hyde UnitedvsLancaster City
- Jan 16, 2027Ilkeston TownvsWhitby Town
- Jan 16, 2027Leek TownvsStockton Town
- Jan 16, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsWarrington Town
- Jan 16, 2027Ashton UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Jan 16, 2027AvrovsAlfreton Town