AFC Emley vs Bamber Bridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Bamber Bridge?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate AFC Emley (1,720) and Bamber Bridge (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bamber Bridge have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (8 points from 5 matches) and Bamber Bridge sit 20th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AFC Emley | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Bamber Bridge?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Bamber Bridge played?
- AFC Emley vs Bamber Bridge is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 6, 2026Alfreton TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Oct 6, 2026Curzon AshtonvsRedcar Athletic
- Oct 6, 2026Ilkeston TownvsGuiseley AFC
- Oct 6, 2026Leek TownvsRylands
- Oct 6, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsHyde United
- Oct 6, 2026Warrington TownvsWorkington
- Oct 6, 2026Whitby TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Oct 6, 2026QuornvsAshton United