Leek Town vs Rylands: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Rylands?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,772) and Rylands (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Rylands have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Leek Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Rylands win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Leek Town 0-2 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Rylands 2-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Rylands 2-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Leek Town 0-1 Rylands | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rylands score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Rylands | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 5 matches) and Rylands sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rylands | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Rylands?
- The Footlab model makes Rylands the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Rylands played?
- Leek Town vs Rylands is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 6, 2026Alfreton TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Oct 6, 2026Curzon AshtonvsRedcar Athletic
- Oct 6, 2026Ilkeston TownvsGuiseley AFC
- Oct 6, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsHyde United
- Oct 6, 2026Warrington TownvsWorkington
- Oct 6, 2026Whitby TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Oct 6, 2026QuornvsAshton United
- Oct 6, 2026Stockton TownvsBury