Where and when is Quorn vs Ashton United played?

Quorn vs Ashton United is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Quorn vs Ashton United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire

Quorn

Ashton United

The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Quorn vs Ashton United?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Quorn (1,764) and Ashton United (1,748).

Quorn win42 %

Draw27 %

Ashton United win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Quorn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lancaster City(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Rylands(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(home)	0-5	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Avro(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

Ashton United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Lancaster City(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Quorn	0.9	1.7	4	7/15	8/15
Ashton United	1.4	1.1	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 5 matches) and Ashton United sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Ashton United	5	3	1	1	8	3	10
21	Quorn	5	0	2	3	4	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Ashton United?: The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ashton United.
Where and when is Quorn vs Ashton United played?: Quorn vs Ashton United is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.