AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes AFC Malmo the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Angelholms FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate AFC Malmo (1,527) and Angelholms FF (1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Malmo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Angelholms FF have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lund(home) | 2-5 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trelleborg(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(away) | 1-4 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 0-7 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trollhättan(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Malmo(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 AFC Malmo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Angelholms FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Angelholms FF 2-2 AFC Malmo | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Angelholms FF vs AFC Malmo on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Malmo score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Angelholms FF score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Malmo | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Angelholms FF | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Malmo sit 5th in Ettan - Södra (29 points from 18 matches) and Angelholms FF sit 13th (17 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Angelholms FF | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 30 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Malmo the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Angelholms FF.
- Where and when is AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF played?
- AFC Malmo vs Angelholms FF is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.