Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Edsborgs IP, Trollhättan
The Footlab model makes Jonkopings Sodra the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Trollhättan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Trollhättan (1,538) and Jonkopings Sodra (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trollhättan have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Jonkopings Sodra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trelleborg(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laholm(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olympic(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosengård(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 27, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 0-1 | Svenska Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trollhättan win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Jonkopings Sodra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra 4-1 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Trollhättan 0-1 Jonkopings Sodra | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Jonkopings Sodra 2-1 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Jonkopings Sodra 1-1 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Trollhättan 1-2 Jonkopings Sodra | Ettan - Södra |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Jonkopings Sodra 0-1 Trollhättan | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Jonkopings Sodra vs Trollhättan on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trollhättan score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jonkopings Sodra score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trollhättan | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Jonkopings Sodra | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trollhättan sit 11th in Ettan - Södra (22 points from 18 matches) and Jonkopings Sodra sit 9th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 11 | Trollhättan | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra?
- The Footlab model makes Jonkopings Sodra the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Trollhättan.
- Where and when is Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra played?
- Trollhättan vs Jonkopings Sodra is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Edsborgs IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.