Utsikten vs Tvååker: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 28Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ruddalens IP 1, Västra Frölunda
The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Utsikten. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utsikten vs Tvååker?
Tvååker starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,633 vs 1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utsikten have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Tvååker have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eskilsminne(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rosengård(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tvååker(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Utsikten win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Tvååker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tvååker 2-2 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Tvååker 2-0 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
| May 8, 2021 | Utsikten 0-4 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Tvååker 2-2 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 17, 2020 | Utsikten 3-3 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Tvååker 2-2 Utsikten | Ettan - Södra |
How many goals should we expect?
Utsikten score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tvååker score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utsikten | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Tvååker | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utsikten sit 16th in Ettan - Södra (7 points from 18 matches) and Tvååker sit 7th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tvååker | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utsikten vs Tvååker?
- The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Utsikten.
- Where and when is Utsikten vs Tvååker played?
- Utsikten vs Tvååker is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ruddalens IP 1, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.