Rosengård vs Kristianstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 28Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rosengårds IP (Södra), Malmö
The Footlab model makes Rosengård the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kristianstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosengård vs Kristianstad?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Rosengård (1,560) and Kristianstad (1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosengård have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kristianstad have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eskilsminne(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(home) | 4-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skövde AIK(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tvååker(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Angelholms FF(home) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lilla Torg(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Eskilsminne(away) | 2-3 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rosengård win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kristianstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Kristianstad 1-2 Rosengård | Ettan - Södra |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Kristianstad 1-1 Rosengård | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 9, 2023 | Kristianstad 0-2 Rosengård | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Rosengård 2-1 Kristianstad | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Kristianstad 0-2 Rosengård | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 14, 2022 | Rosengård 2-2 Kristianstad | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Kristianstad vs Rosengård on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosengård score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kristianstad score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengård | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kristianstad | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosengård sit 6th in Ettan - Södra (28 points from 18 matches) and Kristianstad sit 15th (17 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rosengård | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 28 |
| 15 | Kristianstad | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosengård vs Kristianstad?
- The Footlab model makes Rosengård the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kristianstad.
- Where and when is Rosengård vs Kristianstad played?
- Rosengård vs Kristianstad is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Rosengårds IP (Södra), in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.