Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Hereford played?

AFC Telford United vs Hereford is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

AFC Telford United vs Hereford: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire

AFC Telford United

Hereford

The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hereford. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AFC Telford United vs Hereford?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate AFC Telford United (1,825) and Hereford (1,797).

AFC Telford United win43 %

Draw25 %

Hereford win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hereford have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AFC Telford United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hednesford Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Merthyr Town(away)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Worksop Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Brackley Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Tamworth(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Hereford
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Worksop Town(away)	3-0	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Radcliffe(home)	3-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Marine(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Buxton(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Bromsgrove Sporting(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Telford United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Hereford win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 10, 2026	AFC Telford United 3-0 Hereford	National League - North
Oct 21, 2025	Hereford 1-1 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Mar 11, 2023	Hereford 0-0 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Nov 12, 2022	AFC Telford United 0-1 Hereford	National League - North
Apr 15, 2022	Hereford 1-0 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Aug 30, 2021	AFC Telford United 0-0 Hereford	National League - North

Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Hereford on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
AFC Telford United	1.2	1.7	2	10/15	10/15
Hereford	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Hereford sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hereford	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
22	AFC Telford United	4	0	2	2	5	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Hereford?: The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hereford.
Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Hereford played?: AFC Telford United vs Hereford is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.