Match

Hereford vs AFC Telford United: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire

HerefordAFC Telford United

The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hereford vs AFC Telford United?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Hereford (1,797) and AFC Telford United (1,825).

Hereford win38 %
Draw25 %
AFC Telford United win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Telford United have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hereford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Worksop Town(away)3-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Radcliffe(home)3-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Marine(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Buxton(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
AFC Telford United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hednesford Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Merthyr Town(away)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Worksop Town(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Brackley Town(home)1-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Tamworth(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hereford win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 AFC Telford United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026AFC Telford United 3-0 HerefordNational League - North
Oct 21, 2025Hereford 1-1 AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North
Mar 11, 2023Hereford 0-0 AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North
Nov 12, 2022AFC Telford United 0-1 HerefordNational League - North
Apr 15, 2022Hereford 1-0 AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North
Aug 30, 2021AFC Telford United 0-0 HerefordNational League - North

Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Hereford on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hereford1.51.158/159/15
AFC Telford United1.21.7210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hereford sit 6th in National League - North (9 points from 4 matches) and AFC Telford United sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hereford4301829
22AFC Telford United4022572

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hereford vs AFC Telford United?
The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for AFC Telford United.
Where and when is Hereford vs AFC Telford United played?
Hereford vs AFC Telford United is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hereford and AFC Telford United

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