South Shields vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)1st Cloud Arena, South Shields, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Shields vs Spennymoor Town?
South Shields starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Shields have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 South Shields win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2025 | South Shields 6-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Apr 21, 2025 | South Shields 0-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 2-1 South Shields | FA Trophy |
| Mar 29, 2024 | South Shields 2-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs South Shields on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Shields sit 5th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Shields vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is South Shields vs Spennymoor Town played?
- South Shields vs Spennymoor Town is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at 1st Cloud Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.