Match

Chorley vs Radcliffe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

ChorleyRadcliffe

The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs Radcliffe?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Chorley (1,780) and Radcliffe (1,705).

Chorley win52 %
Draw24 %
Radcliffe win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Radcliffe have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Scarborough Athletic(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Marine(away)2-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026South Shields(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chester(home)1-2National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Trafford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Radcliffe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Morecambe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hereford(away)0-3National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Macclesfield(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Spalding United(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bury(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chorley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Radcliffe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Chorley 0-1 RadcliffeNational League - North
Nov 8, 2025Radcliffe 2-2 ChorleyNational League - North
Apr 21, 2025Chorley 5-0 RadcliffeNational League - North
Feb 18, 2025Radcliffe 2-0 ChorleyNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Radcliffe on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chorley0.91.248/158/15
Radcliffe1.12.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Radcliffe sit 21st (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Chorley4202656
21Radcliffe4103383

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Radcliffe?
The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Radcliffe.
Where and when is Chorley vs Radcliffe played?
Chorley vs Radcliffe is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chorley and Radcliffe

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