Match

Macclesfield vs Southport: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire

MacclesfieldSouthport

The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Macclesfield vs Southport?

Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,824).

Macclesfield win53 %
Draw23 %
Southport win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Southport have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Macclesfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Brackley Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Spalding United(away)0-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Radcliffe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Marine(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 1, 2026United of Manchester(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Southport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bedford Town(home)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hednesford Town(away)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Buxton(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hebburn Town(away)1-3National League - North
Jul 31, 2026Wigan(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Macclesfield win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Southport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2026Macclesfield 2-1 SouthportNational League - North
Aug 19, 2025Southport 1-2 MacclesfieldNational League - North
Apr 4, 2017Southport 1-2 MacclesfieldNational League
Aug 16, 2016Macclesfield 3-1 SouthportNational League
Dec 5, 2015Southport 3-1 MacclesfieldNational League
Aug 11, 2015Macclesfield 0-0 SouthportNational League

Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Southport on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Macclesfield1.41.239/158/15
Southport1.51.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Southport sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Macclesfield43105210
11Southport4121875

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Southport?
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Southport.
Where and when is Macclesfield vs Southport played?
Macclesfield vs Southport is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Macclesfield and Southport

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