Match

Agropecuario vs Almagro: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig, Carlos Casares, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AgropecuarioAlmagro

The Footlab model makes Agropecuario the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Almagro. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Agropecuario vs Almagro?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Agropecuario (1,736) and Almagro (1,705).

Agropecuario win50 %
Draw30 %
Almagro win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agropecuario have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Almagro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Agropecuario
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tristan Suarez(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Ciudad de Bolívar(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026Club Atlético Güemes(home)3-0Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Chacarita Juniors(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026San Martin S.J.(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Almagro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Colegiales(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Quilmes(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Agropecuario win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Almagro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Almagro 2-1 AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional
Aug 20, 2023Agropecuario 1-1 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Apr 8, 2023Almagro 0-1 AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional
Mar 5, 2022Agropecuario 2-2 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Mar 1, 2019Almagro 1-1 AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional
May 8, 2018Almagro 0-2 AgropecuarioPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Almagro vs Agropecuario on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Agropecuario score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Agropecuario0.71.065/154/15
Almagro1.01.056/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Agropecuario sit 15th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Almagro sit 13th (31 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Almagro268711212931
15Agropecuario267811223029

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Agropecuario vs Almagro?
The Footlab model makes Agropecuario the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Almagro.
Where and when is Agropecuario vs Almagro played?
Agropecuario vs Almagro is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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