Match

Atlanta vs Midland: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Don León Kolbovski, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

AtlantaMidland

The Footlab model makes Atlanta the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Midland. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlanta vs Midland?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Atlanta (1,783) and Midland (1,836).

Atlanta win40 %
Draw30 %
Midland win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Midland have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlanta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nueva Chicago(away)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Ferro Carril Oeste(away)1-3Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Temperley(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Deportivo Maipu(away)2-4Primera Nacional
Jul 27, 2026Almagro(home)1-3Primera Nacional
Midland
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Temperley(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Aug 19, 2026Banfield(away)2-2Copa Argentina
Aug 14, 2026Acassuso(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 7, 2026Deportivo Maipu(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Almagro(away)1-1Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Atlanta win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Midland win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Midland 1-2 AtlantaPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Midland vs Atlanta on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlanta score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Midland score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlanta1.31.177/157/15
Midland1.30.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlanta sit 4th in Primera Nacional (42 points from 25 matches) and Midland sit 5th (38 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Atlanta251339312542
5Midland251087271938

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlanta vs Midland?
The Footlab model makes Atlanta the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Midland.
Where and when is Atlanta vs Midland played?
Atlanta vs Midland is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Don León Kolbovski, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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