San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan, Provincia de San Juan
The Footlab model makes San Martin S.J. the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gimnasia Jujuy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate San Martin S.J. (1,788) and Gimnasia Jujuy (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martin S.J. have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnasia Jujuy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Martin S.J. win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 26, 2025 | San Martin S.J. 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Copa Argentina |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 18, 2024 | San Martin S.J. 2-1 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 27, 2022 | San Martin S.J. 3-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin S.J. on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martin S.J. score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J. | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martin S.J. sit 10th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 24 matches) and Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J. | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
- The Footlab model makes San Martin S.J. the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gimnasia Jujuy.
- Where and when is San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy played?
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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