Match

Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Quema, San Isidro, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AcassusoFerro Carril Oeste

The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Ferro Carril Oeste starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,645).

Acassuso win23 %
Draw29 %
Ferro Carril Oeste win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acassuso have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ferro Carril Oeste have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acassuso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)1-4Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Colon Santa Fe(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026San Miguel(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Ferro Carril Oeste
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026All Boys(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Atlanta(home)3-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Los Andes(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)1-3Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)0-4Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Acassuso win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 AcassusoPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Acassuso on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acassuso0.71.347/154/15
Ferro Carril Oeste1.40.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Acassuso sit 18th in Primera Nacional (22 points from 25 matches) and Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st (52 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ferro Carril Oeste261646322352
18Acassuso255713183022

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Acassuso.
Where and when is Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste played?
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Quema, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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