Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Quema, San Isidro, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ferro Carril Oeste wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Ferro Carril Oeste starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Acassuso
4-3-3- 8K. Dubini
- 9D. Escalante
- 10A. Hermoso
- 7R. Reynoso
- 15N. Petillo
- 5J. Postigo
- 3A. Ruiz
- 2S. Bellatti
- 13S. Borges
- 6J. Ghiraldello
- 1M. Monllor
Ferro Carril Oeste
4-3-3- 3E. Ozuna
- 11E. Dening
- 9N. Reniero
- 10E. Hoyos
- 7Ángel Emanuel Gonzalez
- 5F. Obradovich
- 8M. Kabalín
- 4K. Nazareno
- 6J. Orellana
- 6G. Canto
- 1F. Monetti
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acassuso have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ferro Carril Oeste have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Acassuso wins, 0 draws, 1 Ferro Carril Oeste win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 Acassuso | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Acassuso on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Acassuso score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acassuso sit 17th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 33 matches) and Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st (62 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 62 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 32 |
A question about Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Acassuso.
- Where and when is Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste played?
- Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Quema, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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