Where and when is San Telmo vs Central Norte played?

San Telmo vs Central Norte is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

San Telmo vs Central Norte: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

San Telmo

Central Norte

The Footlab model makes San Telmo the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Telmo vs Central Norte?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate San Telmo (1,676) and Central Norte (1,700).

San Telmo win40 %

Draw31 %

Central Norte win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Telmo have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Central Norte have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Telmo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Deportivo Moron(home)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Quilmes(away)	0-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	San Miguel(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Racing Cordoba(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

Central Norte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	CA Estudiantes(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026	All Boys(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Los Andes(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Godoy Cruz(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 San Telmo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Central Norte win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 14, 2026	Central Norte 0-0 San Telmo	Primera Nacional
Sep 14, 2025	San Telmo 3-1 Central Norte	Primera Nacional
May 13, 2025	Central Norte 1-2 San Telmo	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Central Norte vs San Telmo on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
San Telmo	0.6	1.1	6	5/15	5/15
Central Norte	0.9	1.2	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Telmo sit 17th in Primera Nacional (24 points from 25 matches) and Central Norte sit 13th (27 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Central Norte	25	6	9	10	17	25	27
17	San Telmo	25	5	9	11	20	29	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Telmo vs Central Norte?: The Footlab model makes San Telmo the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Central Norte.
Where and when is San Telmo vs Central Norte played?: San Telmo vs Central Norte is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.