San Telmo vs Central Norte: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes San Telmo the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Telmo vs Central Norte?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates San Telmo (1,724) and Central Norte (1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Telmo vs Central Norte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Telmo
4-3-3- 9N. Molina
- 10M. Batallini
- 20C. Núñez
- 5E. Brítez
- 15J. Iritier
- 15Cristian Ortíz
- 6P. Romero
- 2L. Pollacchi
- 7R. Uriburu
- 4E. Diaz
- 1J. Enrico
Central Norte
4-3-3- 9F. Borda
- 10F. Vedoya
- 18É. Bodencer
- 8G. Mancuso
- 7M. Moravec
- 5M. Villarreal
- 6A. Lamosa
- 2E. Calderón
- 4M. Rosales
- 11P. Sanz
- 1J. Hass
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Telmo have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Central Norte have 2, 10 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 3-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 12, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 San Telmo wins, 1 draw, 0 Central Norte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Central Norte 0-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2025 | San Telmo 3-1 Central Norte | Primera Nacional |
| May 13, 2025 | Central Norte 1-2 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Central Norte vs San Telmo on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Telmo score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Central Norte score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Telmo | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Central Norte | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Telmo sit 13th in Primera Nacional (37 points from 33 matches) and Central Norte sit 15th (34 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | San Telmo | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 37 | 37 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 33 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 21 | 30 | 34 |
A question about San Telmo vs Central Norte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Telmo vs Central Norte?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Telmo the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Central Norte.
- Where and when is San Telmo vs Central Norte played?
- San Telmo vs Central Norte is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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