UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Mayayo, Sangonera la Verde
The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Unión Molinense. The most likely score is 1-1. If UCAM Murcia II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,750 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense?
On Elo ratings, UCAM Murcia II has 1,830 points and Unión Molinense 1,807.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCAM Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the UCAM Murcia II lineup.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCAM Murcia II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Unión Molinense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UCAM Murcia II wins, 2 draws, 2 Unión Molinense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Unión Molinense 3-3 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II 0-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II 2-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Unión Molinense 2-0 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Unión Molinense 0-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs UCAM Murcia II on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCAM Murcia II sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (14 points from 8 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 6th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | UCAM Murcia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Unión Molinense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
A question about UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Unión Molinense.
- Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense played?
- UCAM Murcia II vs Unión Molinense is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.