AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Strawberry Arena, Solna
The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for AIK Stockholm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate AIK Stockholm (1,839) and IF Elfsborg (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AIK Stockholm have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; IF Elfsborg have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AIK Stockholm win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 IF Elfsborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | IF Elfsborg 1-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | IF Elfsborg 3-2 AIK Stockholm | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 2, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 0-3 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 27, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 2-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 27, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 2-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 15, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 6-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: IF Elfsborg vs AIK Stockholm on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AIK Stockholm sit 6th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 17 matches) and IF Elfsborg sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 6 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?
- The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for AIK Stockholm.
- Where and when is AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg played?
- AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Strawberry Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.