Hammarby FF vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
The Footlab AI model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Sirius. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hammarby FF wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
On Elo ratings, Hammarby FF has 2,008 points and Sirius 1,985.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hammarby FF vs Sirius
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hammarby FF
4-1-4-1- 7P. Abraham
- 8M. Karlsson
- 26M. Madjed
- 9V. Lind
- 28F. Adjei
- 31O. Steinke Branby
- 3F. Winther
- 16N. Persson
- 2E. Skoglund
- 6I. Fofana
- 1W. Hahn
Sirius
4-3-3- 30Z. Vancsa
- 9J. Uneken
- 11I. Bjerkebo
- 6M. Lindberg
- 10M. Heier
- 24V. Svensson
- 5H. Castegren
- 4T. Anker
- 22O. Krusnell
- 2Mohamed Soumah
- 34D. Celic
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby FF have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sirius have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 13, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 2-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brondby(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hammarby FF wins, 1 draw, 2 Sirius wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Sirius 2-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Hammarby FF 2-2 Sirius | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Sirius 3-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 14, 2025 | Hammarby FF 3-2 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sirius 0-3 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 26, 2024 | Hammarby FF 3-0 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Sirius vs Hammarby FF on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sirius | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby FF sit 2nd in Allsvenskan (43 points from 22 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (51 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 43 |
A question about Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Sirius.
- Where and when is Hammarby FF vs Sirius played?
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tele2 Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.