Hammarby FF vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Sirius. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hammarby FF (1,965) and Sirius (1,940).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby FF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sirius have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hammarby FF win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sirius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Sirius 2-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Hammarby FF 2-2 Sirius | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Sirius 3-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 14, 2025 | Hammarby FF 3-2 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sirius 0-3 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 26, 2024 | Hammarby FF 3-0 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Sirius vs Hammarby FF on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby FF sit 2nd in Allsvenskan (36 points from 18 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (42 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Sirius.
- Where and when is Hammarby FF vs Sirius played?
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tele2 Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.