Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Orgryte IS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF?
Mjallby AIF starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orgryte IS have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Mjallby AIF have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Orgryte IS win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mjallby AIF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Mjallby AIF 0-2 Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Orgryte IS 0-3 Mjallby AIF | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Orgryte IS 1-1 Mjallby AIF | Superettan |
| May 4, 2019 | Mjallby AIF 2-1 Orgryte IS | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Mjallby AIF vs Orgryte IS on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mjallby AIF score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mjallby AIF | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orgryte IS sit 15th in Allsvenskan (14 points from 18 matches) and Mjallby AIF sit 11th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mjallby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF?
- The Footlab model makes Mjallby AIF the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Orgryte IS.
- Where and when is Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF played?
- Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.