Halmstad vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Örjans Vall, Halmstad
The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Halmstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halmstad vs Malmo FF?
Malmo FF starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Halmstad have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Malmo FF have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gais(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Halmstad win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Malmo FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Malmo FF 5-2 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Malmo FF 2-1 Halmstad | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Halmstad 0-4 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 18, 2025 | Malmo FF 3-0 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Halmstad 0-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Malmo FF 5-1 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
Halmstad score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halmstad sit 16th in Allsvenskan (8 points from 18 matches) and Malmo FF sit 7th (26 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halmstad vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Halmstad.
- Where and when is Halmstad vs Malmo FF played?
- Halmstad vs Malmo FF is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Örjans Vall, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.