Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stora Valla, Degerfors
The Footlab model makes Vasteras SK FK the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Degerfors IF (1,723) and Vasteras SK FK (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Vasteras SK FK have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Enköping(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 0-6 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Degerfors IF win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vasteras SK FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK 0-1 Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Degerfors IF 1-0 Vasteras SK FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Degerfors IF 3-1 Vasteras SK FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Vasteras SK FK 0-0 Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Degerfors IF 3-4 Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vasteras SK FK score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vasteras SK FK | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Degerfors IF sit 14th in Allsvenskan (16 points from 18 matches) and Vasteras SK FK sit 8th (26 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 26 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK?
- The Footlab model makes Vasteras SK FK the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Degerfors IF.
- Where and when is Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK played?
- Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stora Valla, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.