Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tele2 Arena, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for IF Elfsborg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Hammarby FF starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby FF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; IF Elfsborg have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hammarby FF win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 IF Elfsborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | IF Elfsborg 1-2 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Hammarby FF 3-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 31, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 0-2 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 22, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 0-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Hammarby FF 3-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Hammarby FF 1-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: IF Elfsborg vs Hammarby FF on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby FF sit 2nd in Allsvenskan (36 points from 18 matches) and IF Elfsborg sit 4th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for IF Elfsborg.
- Where and when is Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg played?
- Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tele2 Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.