AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Strawberry Arena, Solna
The Footlab model makes IFK Goteborg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for AIK Stockholm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate AIK Stockholm (1,839) and IFK Goteborg (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AIK Stockholm have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; IFK Goteborg have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 3-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AIK Stockholm win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 IFK Goteborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | IFK Goteborg 1-2 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2025 | IFK Goteborg 2-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 29, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 3-0 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 21, 2024 | IFK Goteborg 1-2 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| May 27, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 5-2 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 6, 2023 | IFK Goteborg 1-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Goteborg vs AIK Stockholm on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Goteborg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| IFK Goteborg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AIK Stockholm sit 5th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 17 matches) and IFK Goteborg sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Goteborg the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for AIK Stockholm.
- Where and when is AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg played?
- AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Strawberry Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.