Malmo FF vs BK Hacken: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Eleda Stadion, Malmö
The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for BK Hacken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malmo FF vs BK Hacken?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Malmo FF (1,867) and BK Hacken (1,858).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malmo FF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; BK Hacken have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sirius(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Malmo FF win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 BK Hacken win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | BK Hacken 3-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 1, 2025 | BK Hacken 1-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Malmo FF 3-0 BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
| May 29, 2025 | Malmo FF 0-0 BK Hacken | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Malmo FF 4-0 BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
| May 20, 2024 | BK Hacken 2-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: BK Hacken vs Malmo FF on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; BK Hacken score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| BK Hacken | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malmo FF sit 7th in Allsvenskan (26 points from 17 matches) and BK Hacken sit 3rd (31 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BK Hacken | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 31 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malmo FF vs BK Hacken?
- The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for BK Hacken.
- Where and when is Malmo FF vs BK Hacken played?
- Malmo FF vs BK Hacken is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Eleda Stadion, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.