Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stora Valla, Degerfors
The Footlab model makes Kalmar FF the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Degerfors IF (1,723) and Kalmar FF (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kalmar FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 7-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 2-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Degerfors IF win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Kalmar FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kalmar FF 2-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Degerfors IF 1-3 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Kalmar FF 2-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Degerfors IF 2-1 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Kalmar FF 2-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Kalmar FF 4-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Kalmar FF vs Degerfors IF on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kalmar FF score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kalmar FF | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Degerfors IF sit 14th in Allsvenskan (16 points from 18 matches) and Kalmar FF sit 13th (19 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?
- The Footlab model makes Kalmar FF the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Degerfors IF.
- Where and when is Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF played?
- Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stora Valla, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.