Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The Footlab AI model makes Sirius the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for IF Elfsborg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sirius wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,985 vs 1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sirius
4-3-3- 30Z. Vancsa
- 9J. Uneken
- 11I. Bjerkebo
- 6M. Lindberg
- 10M. Heier
- 24V. Svensson
- 5H. Castegren
- 4T. Anker
- 22O. Krusnell
- 2Mohamed Soumah
- 34D. Celic
IF Elfsborg
4-2-3-1- 21L. Ãstman
- 19J. Beck
- 9A. Zeneli
- 18J. Magnússon
- 29M. Kamara
- 10S. Olsson
- 23N. Hult
- 4T. Isherwood
- 16A. Jensen
- 6R. Wikström
- 31I. Pettersson
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sirius have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; IF Elfsborg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brondby(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 6, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sirius wins, 0 draws, 2 IF Elfsborg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | IF Elfsborg 1-3 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 8, 2026 | IF Elfsborg 1-2 Sirius | Svenska Cupen |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sirius 4-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 23, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 4-3 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Sirius 4-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 29, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 2-0 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: IF Elfsborg vs Sirius on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sirius score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sirius sit 1st in Allsvenskan (51 points from 22 matches) and IF Elfsborg sit 4th (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 28 | 51 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 37 |
A question about Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sirius the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for IF Elfsborg.
- Where and when is Sirius vs IF Elfsborg played?
- Sirius vs IF Elfsborg is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Studenternas IP, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.