Halmstad vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Örjans Vall, Halmstad
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Halmstad. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halmstad vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF is a heavy favourite: 1,955 Elo points against 1,645 — a 310-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Halmstad have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gais(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Halmstad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Hammarby FF 1-1 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Halmstad 1-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Hammarby FF 2-0 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Hammarby FF 1-0 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Halmstad 2-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Hammarby FF 2-2 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby FF vs Halmstad on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Halmstad score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halmstad sit 16th in Allsvenskan (8 points from 18 matches) and Hammarby FF sit 2nd (33 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 33 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halmstad vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Halmstad.
- Where and when is Halmstad vs Hammarby FF played?
- Halmstad vs Hammarby FF is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Örjans Vall, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.