Ajax vs Feyenoord: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ajax. The most likely score is 1-1. If Feyenoord wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax vs Feyenoord?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Ajax (2,090) and Feyenoord (2,144).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax vs Feyenoord
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax
4-3-3- 99T. Arokodare
- 11V. Tsygankov
- 10O. Gloukh
- 8J. Brandt
- 24J. Mokio
- 4S. Amrabat
- 15Y. Baas
- 6T. Kehrer
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 5O. Wijndal
- 1M. ter Stegen
Feyenoord
4-3-3- 10L. Valente
- 23A. Hadj-Moussa
- 19Nacho Ferri
- 8G. Zechiël
- 34C. Vanhoutte
- 28O. Targhalline
- 35Mika Màrmol
- 26G. Read
- 6J. St. Juste
- 16Javi López
- 1T. Ernst
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Feyenoord have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Como(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 7-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ajax wins, 1 draw, 2 Feyenoord wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Ajax 2-0 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Feyenoord 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Feyenoord score 3.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Feyenoord | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 5th in Eredivisie (15 points from 8 matches) and Feyenoord sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Ajax vs Feyenoord?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax vs Feyenoord?
- The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Ajax.
- Where and when is Ajax vs Feyenoord played?
- Ajax vs Feyenoord is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Johan Cruijff Arena, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.