Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrecht wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Fortuna Sittard (1,896) and Utrecht (1,969).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3- 52M. Ihattaren
- 9A. Descotte
- 25L. Zeefuik
- 23P. Brittijn
- 20É. Michut
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 31M. Branderhorst
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Utrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard wins, 2 draws, 2 Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Utrecht 2-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| May 18, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Utrecht 2-5 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Utrecht 4-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard 0-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 7th in Eredivisie (14 points from 8 matches) and Utrecht sit 13th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.