Cambuur vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur vs PEC Zwolle?
PEC Zwolle starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cambuur win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 PEC Zwolle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 Cambuur | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Cambuur 3-4 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 6, 2021 | PEC Zwolle 1-2 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Jul 24, 2021 | PEC Zwolle 2-1 Cambuur | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Cambuur 2-0 PEC Zwolle | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Cambuur 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur on Jul 22, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur score 1.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur sit 18th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Cambuur vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Cambuur vs PEC Zwolle is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kooi Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.