Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Namys, Shymkent
The Footlab model makes Akademiya Ontustik the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 12% for Aktobe Jas. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas?
Akademiya Ontustik starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,329 vs 1,134).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akademiya Ontustik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aktobe Jas have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Khan Tengri(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Taraz(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Astana II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(home) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Akademiya Ontustik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aktobe Jas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Aktobe Jas 1-4 Akademiya Ontustik | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Akademiya Ontustik 2-1 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Aktobe Jas 1-2 Akademiya Ontustik | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Aktobe Jas 3-0 Akademiya Ontustik | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Akademiya Ontustik 5-2 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Aktobe Jas 0-1 Akademiya Ontustik | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aktobe Jas vs Akademiya Ontustik on Jun 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Akademiya Ontustik score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aktobe Jas score 1.9 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akademiya Ontustik | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Aktobe Jas | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akademiya Ontustik sit 4th in 1. Division (33 points from 19 matches) and Aktobe Jas sit 11th (20 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 33 |
| 11 | Aktobe Jas | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 60 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas?
- The Footlab model makes Akademiya Ontustik the favourite at 74%, against 14% for a draw and 12% for Aktobe Jas.
- Where and when is Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas played?
- Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas is played on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Namys, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.