Tobol 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sport Academy Kairat the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Tobol 2. The most likely score is 0-4.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tobol 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat?
Sport Academy Kairat is a heavy favourite: 1,654 Elo points against 1,222, a 432-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tobol 2 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Sport Academy Kairat have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Khan Tengri(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Astana II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arys(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jaiyq(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tobol 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sport Academy Kairat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat 7-0 Tobol 2 | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Sport Academy Kairat vs Tobol 2 on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tobol 2 score 1.9 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Academy Kairat score 3.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobol 2 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Sport Academy Kairat | 3.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tobol 2 sit 14th in 1. Division (10 points from 19 matches) and Sport Academy Kairat sit 2nd (46 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 60 | 10 | 46 |
| 14 | Tobol 2 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 52 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tobol 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Academy Kairat the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 4% for Tobol 2.
- Where and when is Tobol 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat played?
- Tobol 2 vs Sport Academy Kairat is played on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.