Astana II vs Taraz: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Astana II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Taraz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Astana II vs Taraz?
Taraz starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,319 vs 1,198).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Astana II have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Taraz have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arys(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arys(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Astana II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Taraz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Taraz 1-2 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Astana II 2-3 Taraz | 1. Division |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Taraz 1-1 Astana II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Astana II score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Taraz score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astana II | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Taraz | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Astana II sit 6th in 1. Division (26 points from 19 matches) and Taraz sit 8th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Astana II | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 26 |
| 8 | Taraz | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Astana II vs Taraz?
- The Footlab model makes Astana II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Taraz.
- Where and when is Astana II vs Taraz played?
- Astana II vs Taraz is played on September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.