Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Aksakovo stadium, Aksakovo
The Footlab AI model makes Aksakovo the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Ustrem Donchevo. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo?
On Elo ratings, Aksakovo has 1,385 points and Ustrem Donchevo 1,384.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aksakovo
Not enough data to predict the Aksakovo lineup.
Ustrem Donchevo
Not enough data to predict the Ustrem Donchevo lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aksakovo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ustrem Donchevo have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 1-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 6-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Olympic Varna(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 4-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aksakovo win, 0 draws, 3 Ustrem Donchevo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Aksakovo 2-3 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ustrem Donchevo 5-0 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ustrem Donchevo 3-2 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Aksakovo 3-1 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aksakovo score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ustrem Donchevo score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aksakovo | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Ustrem Donchevo | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aksakovo sit 15th in Third League - Northeast (9 points from 10 matches) and Ustrem Donchevo sit 14th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ustrem Donchevo | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 10 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 9 |
A question about Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aksakovo the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for Ustrem Donchevo.
- Where and when is Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo played?
- Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Aksakovo stadium, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.