Svetkavitsa 14 vs Devnya 2005: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Svetkavitsa 14. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svetkavitsa 14 vs Devnya 2005?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Svetkavitsa 14 (1,389) and Devnya 2005 (1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svetkavitsa 14 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Devnya 2005 have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Svetkavitsa 14 score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Devnya 2005 score 1.0 and concede 0.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svetkavitsa 14 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Devnya 2005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svetkavitsa 14 sit 1st in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Devnya 2005 sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Devnya 2005 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svetkavitsa 14 vs Devnya 2005?
- The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Svetkavitsa 14.
- Where and when is Svetkavitsa 14 vs Devnya 2005 played?
- Svetkavitsa 14 vs Devnya 2005 is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.